Sunday, June 27, 2010

Hummm...... Which Stock to Choose?



There are the 15 mining stocks I follow from those published by Bill Matlack each week at Kitco.  I have chosen
these particular stocks because, in my judgment, they currently have the most explosive projected earnings of the lot.

This table looks at the performance of these stocks during three recent gold rallies.

Kitco’s
Most Explosive
Dec ’07 – Mar ‘08
Gain %
Sept ’09 – Dec ‘09
Gain %
Apr ’10 – July ‘10
Gain %
Actual Performance
Actual Performance
Actual Performance
$GOLD
$800 - $1030
28.75%
$950 - $1225
28.95%
$1100 - $1250
13.69%
1.
GBG
$2.25 - $3.75
66.66%
$1.30 - $1.80
38.46%
$1.70 - $1.85
8.82%
2.
CDE
$40 - $50
25.00%
$18 - $24
33.33%
$16 - $17
6.25%
3.
MFN
$12 - $13.50
8.33%
$10 - $11
10.00%
$9.50 - $9.50
0.00%
4.
SWC
$10 - $22
120.00%
$7 - $10
42.85%
$13 - $13
0.00%
5.
ANV
$6 - $6
0.00%
$8 - $15
87.50%
$17 - 22
29.41%
6.
GSS
$3 - $4.25
41.66%
$2.75 - $3.75
36.36%
$4.00 - $4.60
15.00%
7.
GOLD
$35 - $55
57.14%
$57 - $90
56.14%
$80 - $98
22.50%
8.
SSRI
$35 - $40
14.28%
$18 - $25
28.00%
$19 - $19
0.00%
9.
RIC
$3 - $4.25
41.66%
$3 - $3.75
25.00%
$4 - $4.50
12.50%
10.
EXK
$3.50 - $4.60
31.43%
$2 - $4
100.00%
$3.25 - $3.70
13.84%
11.
NGD
$5 - $9
80.00%
$3.50 - $3.50
00.00%
$4.50 - $6.50
44.44%
12.
JAG
$9 - $14
55.55%
$9 - $12.50
43.21%
$10 - $10
0.00%
13.
AGT
$.50 - $.75
50.00%
$.37 - $.55
48.65%
$.33 - $.31
-6.00%
14.
CGC
$2.75 - $3.10
12.72%
$2.50 - $4
60.00%
$3.60 - $4.20
16.66%
15.
CGR
$1.40 - $1.40
0.00%
$.55 - $1.30
136.00%
$1.15 - $1.15
0.00%
The ‘07/08 rally was 4 months.                   As you can see, every stock has its own little personality.
The 2009 rally was 3 months.                      Also, they don’t all move at the same time.  Some are leaders
Apr ’10 to July ‘10 was 3 months.                and some are laggards.   I wish you well in your study.

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